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Sport Sections
Wednesday, February 14
Rumblings and Grumblings



If we're wishing happy birthday to Abe Lincoln, you know what that means:

No more 72-page A-Rod books. No more Manny Ramirez appearances on Outside the Lines. No more agents burning up the phone lines, trying to find a home for Kevin Sefcik and Jeff Tabaka.

Triviality
Can you name the active pitcher in each of baseball's six divisions with the most career wins? (Only pitchers on 40-man rosters will be considered "active".) Extra credit if you can guess the six runners-up.

(Answer at bottom)

In other words, another spectacular baseball offseason is finally history. So before we read that first spring-training dispatch from Joker Marchant Stadium, let's look back at how all those winter maneuverings turned out.

Most improved teams (NL)
1. Cardinals
2. Astros
3. Rockies

The Cardinals traded for a 28-year-old starter (Dustin Hermanson) with a lower career ERA than Darryl Kile or Todd Stottlemyre. They added depth with Quinton McCracken, Bobby Bonilla, Bernard Gilkey, Shane Andrews and John Mabry – all for a total of $4.05 million. Now if Rick Ankiel and that Big Mac guy make it back, GM Walt Jocketty can just retire the executive-of-the-year trophy.

Most improved teams (AL)
1. Athletics
2. Red Sox
3. White Sox

Johnny Damon might not be as good as he looked in that 127-hit second half. But he's a one-man makeover for Oakland's lineup, its leadoff hole and its outfield defense. And when was the last time a team added a player who stole more bases the year before (46) than its entire roster (40)?

Most unimproved teams (NL)
1. Giants
2. Mets
3. Braves

The rich didn't get richer in this league. Ellis Burks and Bill Mueller drove off the Giants' exit ramp, and only Tim Worrell, Eric Davis and Shawon Dunston found the on-ramp.

The Mets replaced Mike Hampton and Bobby J. Jones with Kevin Appier and Steve Trachsel – and never addressed the least productive outfield (only 59 HR, 231 RBI) of any of the eight playoff teams.

The Braves got shut out by the Hampton/A-Rod tag team – and lost their cleanup hitter (Andres Galarraga).

And despite all that, it wouldn't shock anybody if all three made the playoffs again.

Most unimproved teams (AL)
1. Twins
2. Blue Jays
3. Tigers

The answer: Tom Prince. The question: Name the only major leaguer added by the Twins all winter – a winter in which they also non-tendered their cleanup hitter (Ron Coomer), by the way.

Least recognizable teams
1. Cubs
2. Orioles
3. Rangers

If Sammy Sosa gets traded, even Kerry Wood will need to buy a program in Chicago. Move-a-minute GM Andy MacPhail roadblocked Mark Grace's return, signed 13 free agents and traded for Matt Stairs and Mueller. No truth to the rumor he also sneaked the ivy vines through waivers.

Checkbook champs
1. Rangers ($268.45 million)
2. Rockies ($181.6 million)
3. Red Sox (178.95 million)

How 'bout them Rangers? For $268.45 million, they could have had A-Rod, Galarraga, Ken Caminiti, Mark Petkovsek, Jeff Brantley, Mike Munoz and Pat Mahomes – or 53 million 12-ounce jars of Texas Best Hot Jerky Marinade. Tough call.

Best free-agent signings
1. Ellis Burks, Indians
2. Mike Mussina, Yankees
3. Manny Ramirez, Red Sox

If you've only got $20 million to spend, as opposed to $160 million, you might as well spend it on Burks, who hit .344 (to Manny's .351), drove in a run every 4.1 at-bats (to Manny's 3.6) and slugged .606 (to Manny's .697). So don't write off those Manny-less Indians too fast.

The pitcher who gave up more fly balls than anyone in baseball gets $51.5 million to pitch in a place where the pop-ups break windows in the parking lot.

Meanwhile, Mussina is a perfect fit for the Yankees. And while we have no idea how the Red Sox are going to raise the cash to pay Manny, we know this: He, Nomar and Carl Everett give them the scariest middle of the order New England has laid eyes on since Rice, Yaz and Fisk.

Worst free-agent signings
1. Denny Neagle, Rockies
2. Jeffrey Hammonds, Brewers
3. Mark Grace, Diamondbacks

The pitcher who gave up more fly balls than anyone in baseball gets $51.5 million to pitch in a place where the pop-ups break windows in the parking lot. The Brewers pay $21.75 million to a guy no one else seemed to want -- even after he had a career year. And as witty and charming a line-drive factory as Grace is, it's still hard to figure why the Diamondbacks didn't think they would have been better off with Erubiel Durazo.

Best trades
1. White Sox get David Wells from Blue Jays for the Orthopedic Surgery All-Stars.

2. Astros get an All-Star catcher (Brad Ausmus), premier set-up man (Doug Brocail) and quadruple-A right-hander (Nelson Cruz) for a 16-game loser (Chris Holt), a catcher who finished last in fielding percentage (Mitch Meluskey) and center fielder who doesn't like playing center field (Roger Cedeno).

3. Cardinals get Dustin Hermanson and Steve Kline from Expos for doghouse-occupant Fernando Tatis and Britt Reames.

Best free-agent signings (under $2 million division)
1. Braves take a $1.5-million gamble on Rico Brogna, who needed two fewer surgeries this winter than he needed last winter (0-2).

2. For a million bucks, Yankees get Henry Rodriguez (off five straight 20-homer seasons) to take aim on the right-field bleachers.

3. Padres guarantee only $625,000 to Bobby J. Jones, 16 weeks after his October one-hitter.

Best free-agent signings (under $5 million division)
1. Hideo Nomo, Red Sox
2. Bret Boone, Mariners
3. Frank Castillo, Red Sox

For one year, $4.5 million, the Red Sox get a guy (Nomo) who had as many quality starts as Tim Hudson. For another $4.5 million over two years, they get Castillo, who went 5-1 against the AL East (losing only to the Sox). And for $3.25 million, Seattle gets Boone, whose 63 homers over the last three years are more than any AL second baseman.

Most outrageous contracts
1. Darren Dreifort gets more millions ($55) from the Dodgers than he owns lifetime wins (39). What a country.

2. Derek Bell gets a $9.75 million reward from the Pirates for his .187 second half.

3. And as terrifying an offensive force as Ramirez may be, if the Red Sox stay in Fenway and average the same 31,926 fans a game they drew this year, it will essentially cost $7.73 a game just to see Manny. (Parking – and Pedro – not included).

Most intriguing spring stories
1. Rick Ankiel searches for the strike zone in Jupiter.

2. Umpires search for the strike zone beneath the palm trees.

3. John Smoltz, Mark McGwire and Craig Biggio search for health and happiness.

Miscellaneous rumblings
  • What many people don't realize in the wake of Jim Bronner and Bob Gilhooley's split from SFX is that they lose all their clients forever. Because agents must sign a "non-compete clause," Bronner and Gilhooley can't reclaim their old clients without violating that clause. Sad story.

  • Baseball people continue to wrestle with the question of how serious a conflict of interest it is for Tom Hicks to own a chunk of any agent's business, as he now does with SFX, while also owning a team. One management response we got was: "He only owns 1 percent." But one prominent agent responds: "I don't care if he owns one-10th of 1 percent. The whole thing reeks."

  • One of the mysteries of the winter is how Sean Casey's case ever reached a hearing. He asked for $3 million. The Reds countered at $2.6. And the case was reportedly all but settled at $2.75 million. But a source says that Reds COO John Allen refused to sign off on the settlement, even though it was below the midpoint. The Reds wound up losing and giving Casey the $3 million. Figure that one out.

  • Speaking of arbitration hearings, Scott Boras has lost seven of his last eight – and has ominous-looking cases looming with Kevin Millwood and Jason Varitek.

  • There has been lots of talk about how it cost George Steinbrenner more than $70 million bucks to put the kibosh on Derek Jeter's seven-year, $118.5-million contract a year ago. Well, guess what? He'll actually spend less money over the next six years ($104 million) than he would have in that original contract ($110.5 million). Take a look:
    YEAR   OLD CONTRACT        NEW CONTRACT
    2001   $10 million         $11 million
    2002   $16 million         $13 million
    2003   $19 million         $14 million
    2004   $19.5 million       $17 million
    2005   $19.75 million      $18 million
    2006   $19.75 million      $19 million

    Signing bonus: Old contract – $6.5 million (paid out over first three seasons); New contract – $12 million (paid out over all six seasons).

    Useless information dept.
  • Irony of the week: Derek Jeter does not have a World Series MVP clause in his new contract. But by our unofficial count, 15 Cubs and 14 Red Sox players do.

    Cubs with a Series MVP incentive: Sammy Sosa ($150,000); Jason Bere, Ron Coomer, Jeff Fassero, Tom Gordon, Felix Heredia, Todd Hundley, Bill Mueller, Matt Stairs, Ricky Gutierrez and Rondell White ($100,000 each), and Damon Buford, Joe Girardi, Jon Lieber and Kevin Tapani ($50,000 each).

    Red Sox with a Series MVP incentive: Dante Bichette and Manny Ramirez ($150,000 apiece); Frank Castillo, David Cone, Hideo Nomo, Pete Schourek, Nomar Garciaparra, Mike Lansing, Jose Offerman, Bret Saberhagen and John Valentin ($100,000 each), and Rod Beck, Derek Lowe and Kent Mercker ($50,000 each).

  • Since the "Is Jeter Worth The Money?" debates seem to go on and on, we pass on this fascinating nugget, courtesy of loyal reader Chris Isidore:

    Jeter on Opening Day 2001:
    Age: 26 years, 9-plus months
    Full seasons: 5
    200-hit seasons: 3
    Total hits: 1,008

    Pete Rose on Opening Day 1968:
    Age: 26 years, 11-plus months
    Full seasons: 5
    200-hit seasons: 2
    Total hits: 899

  • OK, and one more Jeter note: Not only was he the first player ever to win an All-Star Game MVP award and a World Series MVP award in the same season last year, he became just the third player to win both awards at any point in his career. The others: Brooks Robinson ('66 All Star Game, '70 WS) and Frank Robinson ('71 All Star Game, '66 WS).

  • Then there's the man who embodies the flip side of Jeter's career: Braves pitcher John Burkett.

    The ever-trivia-conscious Burkett recently told the Beaver County Times' John Perrotto that he thinks he may have made history – by playing for teams that have lost 12 straight postseason games. He pitched a complete game to beat the Yankees in Game 1 of the 1996 AL Division Series. Then the Rangers lost nine in a row to the Yankees in '96, '98 and '99. Whereupon Burkett returned to October with the Braves last fall, only to have his team get swept by the Cardinals.

    We haven't figured out a way to research whether anyone else has ever done this. But if you're a postseason triviologist who knows the answer, be sure to track us down.

  • When they discovered that Mike Sirotka was probably out for the year, one of the names the Blue Jays threw out there as a potential replacement for David Wells was free-agent signee Jaime Navarro. Hmmm. Now there are two guys with a lot in common. Wells won 20 games last year. Navarro has won 20 of his last 84 starts, dating back to May 1997.

  • Then again, almost no matter whom Toronto plugs into that rotation, 20-game winners have proven almost impossible to replace. The Elias Sports Bureau's Rob Tracy reports that since World War II, 10 20-game winners changed teams in the following offseason – and in only three cases did the team losing that 20-game winner win more games the next season.

    For no discernible reason, all three teams that did better were clubs that lost a 20-game winner as a free agent. Which means that all seven teams trading their free agent regressed.

    The complete list:
    Year Pitcher          W   Team           W-L   Next  W-L    GB
    1971 Steve Carlton    20  St. Louis     90-72  1972  75-81  -12
    1974 Catfish Hunter*  25  Oakland       90-72  1975  98-64  +8
    1975 Jim Kaat         20  Chicago (AL)  75-86  1976  64-97  -11
    1975 Mike Torrez      20  Baltimore     90-69  1976  88-74  -3.5
    1976 Wayne Garland*   20  Baltimore     88-74  1977  97-64  +9.5
    1985 Joaquin Andujar  21  St. Louis    101-61  1986  79-82  -21.5
    1991 John Smiley      20  Pittsburgh    98-64  1992  96-66  -2
    1992 Greg Maddux*     20  Chicago       78-84  1993  84-78  +6
    1998 Roger Clemens    20  Toronto       88-74  1999  84-78  -4
    1999 Mike Hampton     22  Houston       97-65  2000  72-90  -25
    (* – changed teams as free agent)

  • Since this was the winter when A-Rod bailed on his old club, too, we thought we'd also study whether 40-homer men are any easier to replace than 20-game winners. So Tracy looked at everyone in history who changed an address after a season of 40 home runs or more.

    In the 12 previous instances where that happened, just two clubs were able to lose that slugger and improve their record the next year. One, ironically, was A-Rod's Mariners, who lost Junior Griffey last year but never looked back. The other was the '99 Red Sox, after the loss of Mo Vaughn.

    The complete list:
    Year Batter            HR  Team          W-L     Next  W-L    GB
    1946 Hank Greenberg    44  Detroit       92-62   1947  85-69  -7
    1959 Rocky Colavito    42  Cleveland     89-65   1960  76-78  -13
    1996 Albert Belle*     48  Cleveland     99-62   1997  86-75  -13
    1997 Andres Galarraga* 41  Colorado      83-79   1998  77-85  -6
    1998 Albert Belle*     49  Chicago (AL)  80-82   1999  75-86  -4.5
    1998 Jose Canseco*     46  Toronto       88-74   1999  84-78  -4
    1998 Rafael Palmeiro*  43  Baltimore     79-83   1999  78-84  -1
    1998 Greg Vaughn       50  San Diego     98-64   1999  74-88  -24
    1998 Mo Vaughn*        40  Boston        92-70   1999  94-68  +2
    1999 Shawn Green       42  Toronto       84-78   2000  83-79  -1
    1999 Ken Griffey Jr.   48  Seattle       79-83   2000  91-71  +12
    1999 Greg Vaughn*      45  Cincinnati    96-67   2000  85-77  -10.5
    (* – changed teams as free agent)

    List of the week
    Active pitchers with the highest career ERAs:

    500 or more IP
    Todd Van Poppel, 5.88
    LaTroy Hawkins, 5.76
    Jimmy Haynes, 5.63
    Frankie Rodriguez, 5.45
    Bryan Rekar, 5.41
    (Special citation: Scott Aldred, 6.02 career ERA with 499 2/3 IP)

    1,000 or more IP
    Brian Bohanon, 5.00
    Willie Blair, 4.93
    Bobby Witt, 4.84
    Ricky Bones, 4.84
    Jaime Navarro, 4.72

    2,000 or more IP
    Witt, 4.84
    Navarro, 4.72
    Scott Erickson, 4.43
    John Burkett, 4.35
    Kevin Tapani, 4.34

  • Speaking of Mo, if he's out for the whole season in Anaheim, he'll rank third on the all-time list of most home runs in a season by a player who then missed the next season. And maybe it says something about modern baseball that the two leaders on this list achieved their own feats within the last three years. The top five, with years and number of homers, courtesy of SABR's Lee Sinins:

    1) Andres Galarraga, 1998-99, 44
    2) Moises Alou, 1998-99, 38
    T3) Mo Vaughn, 2000-01, 36
    T3) Ted Williams, 1942-43, 36
    T3) Ron Gant, 1994-95, 36

  • A couple of weeks ago, we listed all the starting pitchers with 50 or more innings last season who allowed opposing hitters to bat under .230 against them. If we expand that number to .235 or under, only five teams will go into the 2001 season with more than one pitcher on that list – but maybe not the five teams you'd suspect:

    Red Sox: Pedro Martinez, Frank Castillo
    Athletics: Barry Zito, Tim Hudson
    Indians: Bartolo Colon, Jaret Wright
    Dodgers: Kevin Brown, Chan Ho Park
    And (surprise), the Phillies: Robert Person, Bruce Chen

  • Another reader response to a recent note comes from Durand Lugar, of Tulsa, Okla. When we pointed out that Mike Morgan was closing in on Jim Kaat's modern record for most presidential administrations pitched in, Lugar observed (correctly) that Nolan Ryan also pitched during seven administrations: Johnson, Nixon, Ford, Carter, Reagan, Bush, Clinton).

    Caribbean Series batting leaders
    Erubiel Durazo, Mexico .455 (10 for 22)
    Carlos Beltran, Puerto Rico .409 (9 for 22)
    Luis Sojo, Venezuela .391 (9 for 23)
    David Ortiz, Dominican Republic .381 (8 for 21)
    Ramon Hernandez, Venezuela .364 (8 for 22)

    Blast from the Past Caribbean Series Box Score Line
    Fernando Valenzuela, Feb. 4, for Mexico vs. Dominican Republic:
    5 IP, 3 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 2 BB, 2 K

    Trivia answer
    NL East – Greg Maddux (240). AL East – Roger Clemens (260). NL Central – Andy Benes (143). AL Central – Chuck Finley (181). NL West – Randy Johnson (179). AL West – Jamie Moyer (131).

    Runners-up: NL East – Tom Glavine (208). AL East – Mike Mussina (147). (Dwight Gooden and David Cone both have more wins but signed minor-league contracts). NL Central – Kevin Tapani (134). AL Central – David Wells, assuming he stays with the White Sox (161). NL West – Kevin Brown (170). AL West – Kenny Rogers (127).

    Special note to Tim Belcher Fan Club: Belcher would lead the AL West with 146, but he's in the Angels' camp on a minor-league contract.

    Jayson Stark is a Senior Writer at ESPN.com.

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