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| Friday, December 17 | |||||
Special to ESPN.com | ||||||
System overview With the Wayne Huizenga years thankfully behind them, Marlins fans can look forward to more supportive ownership led by John Henry. General Manager Dave Dombrowski and his staff have done a terrific job collecting talent in fire-sale trades, while bringing in high-ceiling players through the draft, and the extensive Latin American scouting program. The Marlins are one of the most "tool" oriented teams in the way they look at talent. For position players, Florida seeks athletic ability above all else, especially at the high school level. While this has brought a number of high-ceiling players into the organization, many of these players appear to suffer from Todd Dunwoody Disease: great tools, but no skills. The Marlins have yet to demonstrate that they can turn raw athletes into successful players on a consistent basis. Florida also loves hard-throwing young pitchers, and has gathered a cornucopia of them through trades and the draft. Again, the results so far have been mixed; injuries and control trouble have plagued many of these guys. The Marlins farm system posted a disappointing .477 winning percentage in 1999. While Win/Loss records are not a particularly good indicator of farm system quality, at some point athletic ability must translate into victories on the field, for the rebuilding project to be considered a success. 1999 Minor League W-L Percentage: .477 (ranked 25th) 1999 amateur draftThe Marlins signed the first 30 players they drafted in 1999, but the success or failure of the class rests with the first two players they picked: Josh Beckett and Terry Byron. Beckett, the Texas schoolboy pitcher with the 97 mph fastball, signed a major league contract with a $7 million financial package. Scouts compare him to Nolan Ryan and Kerry Wood, due to his heater and big-bending curve. But he could just as easily turn into Todd Van Poppel, especially considering since the contract puts a definite time limit on how long he can stay in the minors. He must stick in the majors by 2003, when he'll run out of options. He didn't pitch after signing, so while scouts love Beckett, at this point we have no objective data to indicate how good he really is. Byron, drafted out of a Florida junior college, has a 94 mph fastball, with a hard curve and a sound changeup. He pitched very well after signing, and could reach the majors as quickly as Beckett. Other draftees of note include third-round pick Josh Wilson, a high school shortstop from Pennsylvania, and Dominic Woody, a catcher from the University of Washington, drafted in the fourth round. Wilson doesn't have great tools but is polished, while Woody has excellent power potential, but is raw defensively. Fourteenth-round pick Todd Moser, a lefty from Florida Atlantic University, has a mediocre fastball, but a great changeup, and knows how to pitch. Also keep an eye on fifth-rounder Nate Robertson, a hard-throwing left-handed pitcher, and eighth round selection Kevin Hooper, a scrappy second baseman, both from Wichita State. Top prospects1) Brad Penny, RHP: Acquired in the Matt Mantei trade from Arizona, Penny has a 95 mph fastball, a good curve, and excellent control. His ERA wasn't hot in 1999, but his K/BB ratio remained exceptional. He still projects as a potential ace. 2) A.J. Burnett, RHP: The Marlins consider Burnett ahead of Penny on the depth chart, but I don't. Burnett has great stuff, but his control is erratic, and his emotional maturity has been questioned. A terrific prospect, don't get me wrong. But I like Penny a bit more. 3) Chip Ambres, OF: A tools player who knows how to play, Ambres drew 46 walks and stole 33 bases in half a season. Ambres has power potential and a strong work ethic. 4) Wes Anderson, RHP: Like Penny, Anderson has a 95 mph fastball, good breaking stuff, and great control, but is a year younger. 5) Abraham Nunez, OF: Recently named as the final player to complete the Mantei trade. I can't believe that the Diamondbacks let this guy go. He is young, athletic, has power, speed, and patience. Others of note Pablo Ozuna, SS-2B: Shows outstanding speed and range in the field, hit .281 in his Double-A debut. Needs more patience, and may end up at second base due to a weak arm. Amaury Garcia, 2B: Gets less respect that he deserves. Good defensively, with pop at the plate and some speed. Ramon Castro, C: Expected to start at catcher in 2000. Strong arm and talented with the glove, has power but won't hit for much of an average. Jason Grilli, RHP: Acquired in the Livan Hernandez trade. Throws hard, throws strikes, but had a disappointing season in Triple-A. Michael Tejera, LHP: Doesn't have the blazing stuff of most Marlins pitching prospects, but knows how to pitch. Julio Ramirez, OF: Stole 64 bases, hit 13 homers. But his strike zone judgment is terrible: 39 walks, 150 strikeouts. Other names to know: Hector Almonte, RHP; Nate Bump, RHP; Cesar Crespo, 2B; Geoff Goetz, LHP; Jaime Jones, OF; Gary Knotts, RHP; Ryan Moskau, LHP; Nate Rolison, 1B; Jose Santos, 3B; Claudio Vargas, RHP; Derek Wathan, SS. John Sickels is the author of the 2000 STATS Minor League Scouting Notebook. You can email your questions to him at JASickels@AOL.com. | ALSO SEE Hot Stove Heaters: Marlins Hot Stove Heaters index |