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Monday, January 29, 2001
Projecting the NCAA Tournament




Hard to believe, but Selection Sunday is less than 50 days away. Thus, there is no time like to present to take our first look at a possible NCAA Tournament field.

Much will change between now and the actual filling out of the bracket on March 11. But it won't take long to see which teams are in great shape, as well as addition to a few familiar names that are already in "bubble trouble".

Check back here every Monday until Championship Week. Each new bracket gets closer to the real thing. Last season's final projection, released the morning of Selection Sunday, missed only one of 64 teams. We're shooting for a "perfect score" this year!

(Through Jan. 21)

MIDWEST REGION
March 16: Dayton, Ohio
1. Michigan State 16. IVY/Yale-SWAC/Alcorn State
(NCAA play-in game)
8. Georgia Tech 9. Southern Mississippi
5. Mississippi 12. MCC/Butler
4. Georgetown 13. MVC/Indiana State
March 16: Kansas City, Mo.
3. Maryland 14. AMERICA EAST/Hofstra
6. Boston College 11. Penn State
7. Alabama 10. USC
2. Kansas 15. MID-CONTINENT/Southern Utah

SOUTH REGION
March 16: Memphis, Tenn.
1. Tennessee 16. MEAC/South Carolina State
8. Cincinnati 9. California
5. Virginia 12. Providence
4. Iowa 13. SUN BELT/Western Kentucky
March 16: New Orleans, La.
3. Arizona 14. CAA/George Mason
6. Minnesota 11. SOUTHERN/Charleston
7. Xavier 10. St. John's
2. North Carolina 15. SLC/McNeese State

EAST REGION
March 15: Greensboro, N.C.
1. Duke 16. NEC/St. Francis-NY
8. Georgia 9. St. Joseph's
5. Wisconsin 12. TAAC/Georgia State
4. Iowa State 13. MAC/Kent
March 15: Uniondale, N.Y.
3. Syracuse 14. PATRIOT/Holy Cross
6. Kentucky 11. Creighton
7. UCLA 10. Oklahoma State
2. Illinois 15. OVC/Tennessee Tech

WEST REGION
March 15: San Diego, Calif.
1. Stanford 16. BIG SOUTH/Winthrop
8. Vanderbilt 9. South Florida
5. Missouri 12. MOUNTAIN WEST/New Mexico
4. Fresno State 13. WCC/Pepperdine
March 15: Boise, Idaho
3. Texas 14. MAAC/Rider
6. Seton Hall 11. Utah State
7. Purdue 10. Florida
2. Wake Forest 15. BIG SKY/Montana State

Bracket Bits
A few reminders:
  • Teams preceded by their conference name bolded in ALL CAPS are the current league (or RPI) leaders.
  • Teams from multiple-bid conferences, or who would earn at at-large bid regardless of their league position, are listed without such a prefix.

  • Please note that St. John's (Uniondale, N.Y., first and second rounds) and Georgia Tech (South regional finals) cannot be placed at sites where they are a host institution.

  • Overrated: Alabama, Connecticut, Florida, Georgetown, Oklahoma, USC, Virginia.

  • Underrated: Boston College, California, Fresno State, Georgia, Kentucky, Minnesota, Southern Mississippi, Texas.

  • Who's hot? The following projected tourney teams are 10-0 in their last 10 games: Stanford, North Carolina, Fresno State.

  • The NCAA men's basketball committee continues to emphasize a team's play away from home. Check out the following R+N (road+neutral) records: Stanford (8-0), Georgetown (7-0), Fresno State (5-0), Duke (8-1), North Carolina (8-1), Kansas (7-1).

  • Movin' Up: (alphabetical order) Butler, Charlotte, Drexel, Holy Cross, Illinois-Chicago, Indiana, Kent, McNeese State, Memphis, Minnesota, New Mexico, North Carolina-Asheville, North Carolina State, Ohio State, Oklahoma State, Southern Utah, St. Bonaventure, St. Francis-NY, St. John's, St. Joseph's, Western Kentucky, Tulsa, Utah, Xavier, Yale

  • Going Down: (alphabetical order) Austin Peay, Charleston, Connecticut, Creighton, Dayton, George Mason, Georgia State, Marshall, Miami (Ohio), Oakland, Providence, Rider, Temple, TCU, Toledo.

  • Multiple-conference breakdown: Big Ten (7), SEC (7), ACC (6), Big East (6), Big 12 (5), Pac-10 (5), Conference USA (3), Atlantic 10 (2), Missouri Valley (2).

  • Last Four In: St. John's, Penn State, Providence, Creighton.

  • Last Four Out: Villanova, Toledo, Oklahoma, Connecticut.

    Joe Lunardi is a regular in-season contributor for ESPN.com. He is also contributing editor of the Blue Ribbon College Basketball Yearbook, www.collegebaskets.com. Write to Joe at jlunardi@home.com.


  • ALSO SEE
    Box Score Banter

    Jan. 21 Sweet 16

    Cinderella Watch: Jan. 21




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