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Thursday, December 9
War Room: Eagles at Cowboys


Philadelphia offense vs. Dallas defense
EAGLES OFFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
Run 14
Pass 31
Tot. Yds. 30
Scoring 29
Int's allowed 13
Sacks allowed 43
   
COWBOYS DEFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
vs. Run 9
vs. Pass 15
Total yds. allowed 9
# of Ints. 20
# of Sacks 28
Turnover differential +8
The Eagle offense played respectably last week against a Cardinal defense that has been steadily improving. QB Donovan McNabb appears as though he is the real deal, demonstrating the arm strength to throw the deep ball, the ability to throw the touch pass, and enough scrambling skills to give defensive coordinators headaches.

McNabb finished Cards game 19-31 for 157 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. He also had nine carries for 67 yards. McNabb also showed patience, spreading the ball to seven different receivers. Against Dallas this week, the Eagles will need McNabb to be sharp.

The Cowboys have a talented front seven, particularly now that DT Leon Lett has returned, so running the ball will not be an easy task. Lett will require constant double teams when Philly runs the ball, and judging by OC Steve Everitt's season to this point, he will need all the help he can get. There have been several occasions over the past few weeks where big defensive tackles have blown Everitt three yards into the backfield on short yardage situations.

The Cowboy defense is aggressive, and tends to over-pursue, so if Duce Staley is going to get loose, it will most likely be on counters and delays. Philadelphia has been breaking in rookie WRs Na Brown and Dameune Douglas over the past few weeks, and he looked especially good against Arizona with an average of over 15 yards per catch. These two young receivers will be tested against Deion Sanders and Kevin Smith, one of the more experienced corner tandems in the league.

Dallas lost a tough game last week against New England, but played sound defensive football against the Pats, holding them to only 13 points. Game planning against the Eagles this week is a little more difficult than against the Patriots. The Eagles have a viable running game with RB Duce Staley, and QB Donovan McNabb is a threat to scramble every time he drops back to pass.

In passing situations, the Cowboys will need to designate a spy to shadow McNabb all over the field -- most likely DT Hennings. When Philadelphia runs Staley, most of the focus will be on the right side of the Cowboy defensive line, which means Hennings and RDE Greg Ellis will have to be at the top of their games against the strong point of the Eagle offensive line. When rushing McNabb, the Dallas defensive line players need to stay in their lanes, and not allow McNabb to get outside, where he becomes dangerous carrying the football.

Depth is a concern on the Dallas defensive front four.

Against New England last week, Dallas' pass rush all but disappeared in the fourth quarter, allowing the Patriots to sustain the game winning drive. Dallas will try to pressure McNabb with the front-four alone, as LBs Godfrey and Dexter Coakley are two of the best cover guys in the league.

Dallas offense vs. Philadelphia defense
COWBOYS OFFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
Run 6
Pass 25
Tot. Yds. 20
Scoring 10
Int's allowed 9
Sacks allowed 22
   
EAGLES DEFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
vs. Run 27
vs. Pass 16
Total yds. allowed 22
# of Ints. 20
# of Sacks 25
Turnover differential 0
The Cowboy offense appeared lost at times in the team's 13-6 defeat at New England. The team ran for a total of 63 yards against a Patriot defense that has been soft against the run for much of the season. Much of the problem was because of injuries along the Cowboy offensive line. Both OC Mark Stepnoski and LOG Larry Allen missed the game with injuries, and their back-ups, Tim Myslinski and Solomon Page respectively, were not nearly as effective as the two seasoned vets have been.

Not only did the Cowboys struggle running the ball, but QB Troy Aikman was sacked three times. This week against the Eagles, it appears as though Allen and Stepnoski will return, although neither at 100 percent. What this means is that Dallas needs to simplify its run-blocking schemes, allowing its players with a size advantage to drive-block the Philadelphia front four, neutralizing any quickness advantage the undersized Eagles might have.

As New England did last week, Philadelphia will overplay the run against Dallas. This will continue until Aikman can stretch the defense by completing some passes downfield. The only receiver on the roster capable of really stretching a defense is WR Rocket Ismail. The Eagles have two solid cover corners, so expect the defense to take some risks to put pressure on Aikman. Aikman must take advantage of these situations and capitalize on single coverage to soften up the Philadelphia defense.

Philadelphia's defense, despite being riddled with injuries, has continued to fight and play hard every week. Last week, the Eagles held the Cardinals to 54 total rushing yards and only two offensive touchdowns. The Eagles got into trouble late in the game because of an inability to get to Cardinal QB Jake Plummer. Additionally, the Eagles secondary and linebackers dropped six potential interceptions.

Against the Cowboys this week, the Eagles need to game-plan to stop Cowboys' RB Emmit Smith. Eight and nine-man fronts will be the order of the day for the Eagles defense. Last week, the Patriots did the same thing -- forced the Cowboys to beat them through the air, and Dallas was unable to do it. Philadelphia defensive coordinator Jim Johnson has enough confidence in his cornerbacks -- RDC Bobby Taylor, LDC Troy Vincent and nickel corner Al Harris -- that he will take a lot of risks to get pressure on Aikman.

One player of whom the Eagle defense needs to be wary of TE David Lafleur. Lafleur is a horse, who blocks like a third tackle and is a terror to bring down if he catches the ball in the open field. Aikman will likely look to Lafleur, as Eagles' LOLB James Darling has had some difficulties this year, both tackling with a cast on his hand and running with tight ends and running backs. Darling has been seeing less time lately, as rookie Barry Gardner has been worked into the lineup more and more each week.

Special teams
NFL RANK
Category PHI DAL
Punt return avg. 13 4
Kickoff return avg. 5 14
Opp. punt return avg. 13 28
Opp. kickoff ret. avg. 10 21
Time of possession 30 3
Several times in the history of this rivalry, the Eagles have been close and Deion Sanders has put the game away with a long punt or kickoff return for a touchdown. The Eagle special teams cover units were burned two weeks ago in Washington, but bounced back last week with a good performance against Arizona. If the Eagles are to have any chance in this game, they need to neutralize Sanders, either by kicking away from him or with a flawless performance by the cover units. Philadelphia cannot afford to have Sanders beat them again.

Key matchups
  • Eagles RB Duce Staley vs. Dallas' Defensive Front-Seven
    The Eagles are almost a one-dimensional offense and Staley must have a huge game to not only give them a chance to move the football, but also take pressure off rookie QB Donovan McNabb. Dallas will likely stack "8 in the box" in an effort to neutralize Staley and make McNabb throw the football.

  • Dallas WR Raghib Ismail vs. Eagles DC Bobby Taylor
    Ismail is really the only legitimate deep threat at WR for the Cowboys, and Troy Aikman will likely send him on some deep routes to create some big plays. Taylor is a good cover corner, but he will try to single-cover Ismail.

  • Dallas RB Greg Ellis vs. Eagles ROT Lonnie Palelei
    The ROT position has been a revolving door, and Ellis is a talented young player who is much better, in terms of athleticism and quickness, than Palelei. If the Eagles are forced to keep a tight end in on blocking situations, it will open up some blitz opportunities for the Cowboys.

    Philadelphia will win if...
  • RB Duce Staley has a huge day. The Eagles are almost a one-dimensional football team, and Staley is a majority of their offense. If he can give Philadelphia a ball-control look, it will not only take pressure off rookie QB Donovan McNabb, but it will also keep Emmitt Smith and the Dallas offense on the sidelines.

  • Their defense can control Dallas RB Emmitt Smith. Smith is having an outstanding season, and the Cowboys will likely try to run the football a lot early to not only wear down the Eagles defense, but also set up playaction opportunities for Troy Aikman and the struggling Dallas passing game. If the Eagles can stop Smith and make Dallas one-dimensional, their corners have a chance to contain the Cowboy WR's.

  • They can hang around for a while! The last thing the Eagles need is to get behind early in this game, which will force them to disband the run game and put the ball in Donovan McNabb's hands too often. Philadelphia needs to keep this game close to build their confidence and give them a chance to steal the game in the fourth quarter. They are not capable of getting into a scoring shoot-out.

    Dallas will win if...

  • RB Emmitt Smith has a solid day running the football. The Cowboys are going to give Smith a lot of carries to attack a declining Philadelphia defense. With a sluggish passing game of their own, running the football and controlling the clock gives them a huge advantage.

  • Their OL controls the Philadelphia DL. When the Cowboys are healthy they are one of the best offensive lines in the NFL, but they are really banged up right now, especially on the left side. Controlling this game in the trenches is critical for the Cowboys.

  • They neutralize RB Duce Staley and force Donovan McNabb to throw the football. Dallas would like nothing better than to put the ball in rookie QB Donovan McNabb's hands and force him to make big plays in the passing game against Deion Sanders & Co. Stopping Staley takes away most of the Philadelphia offense and will put them in a desperate mindset.

    The War Room edge
    Both of these teams have looked very anemic on offense and are struggling to find any offensive explosiveness. However, the Eagles have been bad all season, while the Cowboys have struggled more recently. Both are coming off disappointing loses (Philadelphia to Arizona, and Dallas to New England), but the Cowboys should be able to get back on track at home. Look for a strong dose of Dallas RB Emmitt Smith to give the Cowboys a ball-control offense, while their defense tries to shut down Eagle RB Duce Staley and make rookie QB Donovan McNabb try to beat them. The Cowboys aren't great, but they are good enough to win this one.

    The War RoomMaterial from The War Room.
    Visit their web site at http://www.nflwarroom.com


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