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Thursday, December 9
War Room: Chargers at Seahawks


San Diego offense vs. Seattle defense
CHARGERS OFFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
Run 30
Pass 16
Tot. Yds. 27
Scoring 23
Int's allowed 20
Sacks allowed 33
   
SEAHAWKS DEFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
vs. Run 20
vs. Pass 22
Total yds. allowed 24
# of Ints. 22
# of Sacks 17
Turnover differential +1
Three weeks ago at home against the Chicago, San Diego coach Mike Riley attempted to breathe life into his offensive unit by implementing a no-huddle package. Since then, the Chargers have had their three most productive weeks of football offensively.

Natrone Means will return this week in the wake of the Chargers first 100-yard rushing performance last week against Cleveland. Riley is aware that even though the Chargers moved the ball with a running back-by-committee approach last week against Cleveland, Means is the guy against Seattle. The only thing that may keep Means from full go will be his own fear of returning from injury on the hard turf of the Kingdome.

The offensive line of the Chargers has been a concern throughout this year, and with good reason. San Diego's running game is ranked 30th in the NFL, however, last week's game against Cleveland saw an inspired unit make strides blocking in the run game.

The Seahawk defensive line is aggressive and athletic, but has had trouble stopping the run this season, ranking 20th in the NFL. Seattle's veteran defensive line has suffered from fatigue in the game's latter stages and half-baked stunts in the third and fourth quarter have led to gaping holes, resulting in opponents dictating tempo down the stretch. Seattle's front will get help from LB's Simmons, Brown and Smith, crowding the box to take some of the load off Kennedy and the Seahawk front.

Seattle CB Shawn Springs has been shutting down opposing wide receivers and completely removing them from their offensive gameplans. But coach Mike Holmgren hasn't been assigning Springs to the No. 1 receiver on a regular basis, this only occurs when a team boasts a receiver with a significantly high level of productivity. That is exactly why Springs will be draped on Charger WR Jeff Graham on Sunday. Graham has been playing exceptionally well, using his hands and natural athletic ability to get a clean release and beat corners off the line of scrimmage.

In order to stop the Charger receiver, Springs will line up on the inside shoulder of Graham and eliminate the crossing route, one of Harbaugh' favorite routes . Springs will rely on his speed, bump and run prowess, and some help from the boundary, where he'll try to force Graham and take advantage of lining up inside of the receiver.

The matchups up front could be a problem for San Diego, a unit that has surrendered 34 sacks this season. The Seahawks have had a relaxed pass rush the past few weeks and last week's lackluster performance gave Raider QB Rich Gannon ample time in the pocket and cost Seattle the ball game. Look for Chad Brown to come hard off the corner over RT Vaughn Parker who is too slow off the ball.

Seattle offense vs. San Diego defense
SEAHAWKS OFFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
Run 22
Pass 20
Tot. Yds. 21
Scoring 11
Int's allowed 13
Sacks allowed 28
   
CHARGERS DEFENSE
Ranking in the NFL:
vs. Run 10
vs. Pass 21
Total yds. allowed 16
# of Ints. 16
# of Sacks 18
Turnover differential -7
San Diego's strength is on defense, where they are ranked 10th against the run and 16th against the pass, however, it is a unit that has been decimated by injuries of late. Junior Seau missed last week's game against the Browns due to a strained abdominal muscle along with a set of soar ribs, and SS Rodney Harrison's shoulder was reaggravated last week a few days before he was set to return to the lineup after missing five games, however, both are probable for this week.

The Seahawks offense is ranked near the bottom of the NFL at 21st, producing just over 310 yards a game. That being noted, it is the Seahawks' balance, not their overall production, that has them vying for the AFC West Crown, passing the ball 28 times a game against 30 running attempts.

After a slow start, Ricky Watters is coming on at the right time. Waters has amassed 927 yards on the ground, the better part of which has come in the season's second half. Ricky Watters is the type of back who cannot get into a rhythm until he touches the ball ten to twelve times, when he begins to wear down a defensive front.

Early in the year Watters was getting plenty of carries, but he wasn't getting them early enough in the game. That has changed. With Watters' wheels moving at top speed, the Chargers will activate their front to stop him, stunting DT's Jamal Williams and John Parella, both of whom are adept shutting down the rush and can move well.

Seattle OC Chris Gray doesn't matchup well against either Parella or Williams and will be the weak link on the Seahawk OL in the face of the stunting duo. Gray is mobile but lacks the communication that injured center Kevin Glover had with his OL. San Diego may not have to commit their LB's to the box or blitz if the attacking DT's can disrupt the Seahawk blocking patterns.

Jon Kitna's play hinges on Watters' productivity. If Watters can establish himself on the ground on Sunday this will bait the San Diego LBs and secondary towards the LOS and give Kitna the chance to take advantage of the injury-riddled Charger DBs.

Kitna has thrown seven interceptions in the past two games, games in which Watters has averaged 57 yards on the ground. San Diego is expecting Seau to play, but if he does he won't be 100%, which leaves run-stuffing ILB Eric Hill and OLB Lewis Bush, who is more of a coverage backer than pass rushing threat, to aid the San Diego front in blitzing Kitna.

It will be up to the Charger defensive front to put heat on Kitna. If they don't, Seattle WRs Joey Galloway and Sean Dawkins should not have much trouble setting up underneath and behind the depleted San Diego secondary.

Special teams
NFL RANK
Category SD SEA
Punt return avg. 23 1
Kickoff return avg. 12 28
Opp. punt return avg. 18 15
Opp. kickoff ret. avg. 24 2
Time of possession 17 29
The Chargers' return teams received a huge boost last week from ex-practice squad player Robert Reed, who exploded for punt returns of 19 and 21 yards. Seattle's punt cover unit, which did a nice job on Oakland's Darrien Gordon last week, will be up for the challenge. Seattle's defense did such a poor job last week that PR Charlie Rogers didn't even get a chance on returns. KOR Ahman Green busted loose for a 42-yard return in the last meeting between these teams and is always a threat with his speed. San Diego PK John Carney and Seattle's Todd Peterson have each only missed three field goal attempts all season.

Key matchups
  • Chargers OGs Aaron Taylor and Kendall Jacox vs. Seahawks DTs Sam Adams and Cortez Kennedy
    The Seahawks love to get inside penetration from their quick and powerful DTs and they should win this matchup, which would flush Charger QB Jim Harbaugh out of the pocket and neutralize the San Diego run game, which has been almost non-existent. A big day by the Seahawks' interior DL can control this game.

  • Seahawks WR Joey Galloway vs. Chargers DCs Charles Dimry or Darryl Lewis
    Galloway is a huge big-play weapon who is not getting a lot of opportunities in the Seahawks' offense. He can stretch a defense and get double-team coverage, which will open up the field for the other WRs. His involvement in this offense is critical to the Seahawks' success.

  • Seahawks LDE Michael Sinclair vs. Chargers ROT Vaughn Parker
    These are two good football players, but Sinclair needs to be able to put pressure off the edge with a sack or two and a potential turnover. Chargers QB Jim Harbaugh is capable of putting up decent numbers if he has solid pass protection.

    San Diego will win if...
  • They can run the football effectively. The Chargers have no chance of winning the football game if they don't establish the run game, which will allow their tired defense to rest and it will also give them ball-control and time of possession.

  • They turn this game into a low-scoring defensive struggle. The Chargers are not equipped to get into an offensive shoot-out, and even though their defense is starting to fade, their best chance for a victory still may depend on a very physical defensive-oriented game that may allow them to steal it in the fourth quarter with one or two big plays.

  • They take care of the football. The Chargers cannot afford to turn the ball over and give a superior Seattle offense a short field to work with. They must play mistake-free offensive football, convert in the red zone, and take advantage of every offensive opportunity if they are to have any chance to win.

    Seattle will win if...

  • RB Ricky Watters wears down the Charger defense. With QB Jon Kitna struggling, Ricky Watters needs to have a huge day and take pressure off the Seahawks passing game. This Charger defense is not close to what it was earlier in the season, and Watters should be able to have success running between the tackles, which will set up a lot of play-action opportunities for Kitna and give him good passing matchups.

  • The Seahawks get WR Joey Galloway more involved in the offense. Galloway is not the factor in this offense that he should be, and any playoff success that the Seahawks have are directly related to his contribution to the offense. Not only is he a huge deep threat who can turn a game around with one play, but he also has the ability to dictate double-coverage, which opens up the passing game for the other Seahawk WRs.

  • They score early and force San Diego to play catch-up football. The Chargers cannot play from behind. They have no explosiveness on offense, and if they get into a situation where they are forced to throw the ball on every down, Seattle's talented defense will tee off on them and make this one ugly. The Chargers must contain Seattle and keep this game close in the first half.

    The War Room edge
    Although the Seahawks are in a free-fall and don't look anywhere close to the team that they were early in the season, they get the perfect opponent this week in the San Diego Chargers. Although the Chargers defeated the hapless Cleveland Browns last weekend, they are still a beat up football team without a consistent run game and a defense that spends too much time on the field. Seattle needs to get back on track with a strong run game behind RB Ricky Watters; wearing down the Charger defense and taking pressure off young QB Jon Kitna in the process. Getting Joey Galloway involved in the offense would certainly be a bonus. Seattle is still the favorite to win the AFC West, and you can bet that Mike Holmgren will have a grueling week of practice to get the Seahawks back into the right mindset. The Chargers will pay for Seattle's mindset on Sunday.

    The War RoomMaterial from The War Room.
    Visit their web site at http://www.nflwarroom.com


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