Purdue Boilermakers
Purdue, led by QB Drew Brees, finished the regular season eighth in the country in total offense and, surprisingly, rushed for 128 yards per game. Brees finished second in the nation in total offense had his second straight 3,000-yard passing season. The Boilermakers do an excellent job of spreading the field, putting tremendous pressure on opposing secondaries with their four-and-five receiver sets. If there is one knock on Brees, it is the fact that he had 11 interceptions five of which were returned for touchdowns. Brees is a competitor, however, and it will be no surprise if he has the best game of his career against a Bulldog defense that has been average at best throughout the season. Because of their wide-open attack, the Boilermakers are a well-balanced offense when they need to be. Purdue is averaging 4.0 yards per carry on the season, and will look to catch the Bulldogs out of position by running a lot of draws and misdirection running plays. RB Montrell Lowe carries the load in the running game, finishing the season with 754 yards on 154 carries.
The Boilermaker defense has been shaky at best this season, allowing an average of 25 points per game and finishing last in the Big Ten in pass defense, allowing 225.8 yards per game. Purdue's secondary has been susceptible to the long pass this season, and with the exception of CB Adrian Beasley, the team has very few players who can cover on an island. Purdue is going to need a huge day from its pass rush in order to keep QB Quincy Carter in check. DE Akin Ayodele emerged as the unit's big play specialist, finishing the season with 18 tackles for losses, including 9.5 sacks.
Georgia Bulldogs
The Bulldog offense relies heavily on the playmaking ability of QB Quincy Carter. His second season saw a tremendous improvement in decision-making to match his physical talent as he passed for 2,713 yards and 17 touchdowns, with only six interceptions. Georgia's offense always poses a big-play threat, as evidenced by its 416-yard total offense average per game. Carter found his go-to-guy in WR Terrence Edwards who notched 53 receptions and nine touchdowns. However, as the season progressed, Carter became more and more comfortable with his tight ends, Randy McMichael and Jevaris Johnson, who combined for 835 yards on 67 catches. The Bulldogs have found some balance in their attack, due to the emergence of RBs Patrick Pass and Jasper Sanks. The two split duties, combining for 1,231 yards rushing with an average of 5.3-yards per carry. They wear down defenses by keeping each other fresh late into games.
The Bulldogs could be in for a long day against QB Drew Brees, after giving up an average of 382-yards of total offense per game. The Bulldog coaching staff gave its secondary an overhaul late in the season, but still saw Georgia Tech score 51 points. The secondary has been riddled by inconsistency, which means the pass rush needs to be consistent in its pressure. Up front, DTs Richard Seymour and Marcus Stroud play tough against the run, but the two are going to have to create more surge in the middle to open up blitzing lanes. LBs Kendrell Bell and freshman Charles Grant made a major impact this season, but Grant will miss the bowl game due to a torn ACL, causing more problems for an already suspect defensive front.
Keys to the game
1. Purdue QB Drew Brees must limit turnovers. Brees is obviously the key to the Boilermakers, leading the team to a 7-4 record almost solely on his ability to spread the offensive attack. Brees should be able to dissect the Bulldogs' decimated secondary, and should find great success throwing the ball, but the key is going to be his ability to avoid mistakes. Brees has thrown 11 interception, five of which were returned for touchdowns. And in a game that looks to be a shootout, the Boilermakers cannot afford to give Georgia any extra opportunities on offense.
2. The Bulldog running game. Georgia's strength is throwing the ball behind the arm of QB Quincy Carter, however, against a Purdue team that is capable of putting up over 50 points against the Bulldog's woeful defense, Georgia needs to be able to establish the running game to take time off the clock. RBs Jasper Sanks and Patrick Pass are bruising runners who can wear down the undersized Boilermaker offense. They will need to combine for at least 100 yards on the ground in order to slow down the tempo of the game.
3. Georgia's secondary against Purdue's wide-open passing attack. The Bulldogs made an overhaul in their secondary late in the season to spark the unit, but the move was not a successful one as they surrendered 51 points to Georgia Tech in the final regular season game. Purdue is going to spread the field with four-and-five receiver sets to put pressure on the Bulldog secondary. Georgia is going to give up a lot of receptions, but needs to do a good job of tackling after the catch to force Purdue into sustaining drives.
War Room Edge: Purdue Boilermakers
This contest has all the makings of a shootout. Both teams are equipped with exceptional offensive personnel, but as good as the respective offenses have been, the defenses have been worse. Purdue has a significant advantage in this game because it has a more consistent offense, and is more capable on the defensive side of the ball. Georgia will look to slow the game down early by running the football and chewing up clock, but it is are only prolonging the inevitable. Georgia is going to be forced into a catch-up situation early in the second half, and the Bulldogs are only going to be able to match points for so long. Purdue QB Drew Brees should have a career day against a decimated and distraught Bulldog secondary. The Boilermakers should win in a game that should be a track meet.
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