With the beginning of the free-agent signing period and the annual pre-draft
combine workouts both beginning on Friday, and teams scrambling even before
that to squeeze under the salary cap by the March 1 deadline for compliance,
the NFL is in one of its most tumultuous periods.
There figure to be 50-100 veterans who will restructure their contracts this
week or be released. And at Indianapolis, where virtually every coach and
key front office person will gather Friday for the combine, the futures of
some draft prospects could be determined and franchises might lay the
groundwork for later trades.
The upshot is that by next Monday, when the combine concludes and teams
return home to assess their strengths and weaknesses, the landscape of the
league could be significantly altered. At the least, we should know more
then about some key offseason questions, among them:
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Ricky Williams rushed for 1,245 yards last season. |
Which league precinct should start ordering up those crazy baseball caps
with the dreadlocks dangling from the back?
It appears that New Orleans is hell-bent on trading tailback Ricky Williams
this offseason, and turning the starter's job over to 2001 first-round
selection Deuce McAllister, so Saints officials probably will huddle in
Indianapolis with the teams interested in a deal. No one should be too
shocked to see Saints general manager Randy Mueller and Miami vice president
Rick Spielman having a few beers together during the combine. The Dolphins
have offered first- and third-round draft choices this year for Williams and
a second-round selection but New Orleans is still asking for more. The
Cleveland Browns and a "mystery" third team have also demonstrated interest
in Williams. The price tag will become clearer within the next week.
Who will be the Atlanta Falcons new general manager?
New owner Arthur Blank is scheduled to return this week from the Olympics,
where he feted the three Home Depot employees who combined for four medals,
and probably will at least close in on a decision about who will operate the
franchise for him. With frontrunner Rich McKay opting to remain in Tampa
Bay, the new Atlanta owner won't get the man who topped his wish list, and
the remaining candidates are Mueller, vice president Mike Reinfeldt of
Seattle, and Buffalo Bills director of football operations Tom Modrak. The
whispers are that Blank, with counseling from the league, prefers an
administrator to a personnel man. So look for the Falcons to hire more of a
front man than someone who can upgrade the team's drafts.
Which current NFL assistant, with no previous head coach experience, will
be the new adopted son of Darth Vader in Oakland?
There is a strong chance that the Oakland Raiders could go to the combine
without a new head coach in place. But owner Al Davis, rest assured, has a
plan because he always does. Look for Davis to interview four or five
promising young assistants from other teams, bleed them for all sorts of
information, then give the job to current Raiders offensive coordinator Bill
Callahan.
What team will jump out first in free agency, by signing a player on
Friday, and what is the identity of the player?
Even with the start of the combine dividing attentions, there will be some
team that wants to make an immediate splash in the free agent pool, and
which will have a deal done by early on Friday morning. It used to be that
Jacksonville traditionally broke the free agency ice, but the Jaguars are in
no position this year to make an early strike. Just a hunch: We're betting
that the team is Cleveland and the player is Pittsburgh inside linebacker
Earl Holmes.
Whither Willie?
Despite an air-clearing meeting this weekend between Willie Roaf and coach
Jim Haslett, the seven-time Pro Bowl offensive tackle is still likely to
depart New Orleans for a new address. He will be in Kansas City on Tuesday
to huddle with Chiefs coach Dick Vermeil, and the Broncos also are
reportedly interested in making a deal for him. The alleged asking price for
Roaf, just a third-round choice, isn't monumental. The risk, since he is
coming off knee surgery, is still a bit high. As is the case with Williams,
look for Saints officials to spend plenty of time during the combine
chatting to teams about a Roaf trade.
Who will raise the biggest stink at the Friday agents' meeting in
Indianapolis?
It's one of the most entertaining components to the combine. The NFL Players
Association convenes its annual meeting of player representatives on the
Friday of the combine and, almost every year, there is at least a pretty
healthy verbal skirmish. The bone of contention this year is likely to come
from the representatives with boutique-type agencies, who feel the
conglomerate groups are flexing their muscles a little too much. The bigger
groups -- like IMG, SFX and Assante -- are signing clients by offering them
guaranteed marketing revenues. In some cases, the payments are worth
$250,000 or more. The little guys are finding it increasingly difficult to
compete and someone is going to raise it as an issue this year.
How many pending free agents will either restructure their contracts or
agree to new deals before the Friday start to the signing period?
Over the past three springs in particular, teams have been more judicious in
retaining their own nucleus players, re-signing them before they go into the
free-agent market. Look for an already thin free-agent pool to be further
diluted in the next few days as teams, at least those with a bit of salary-cap wiggle room, work hard to keep players out of free agency. An educated
guess would be that there will be 30-40 contracts restructured and another
20-25 new deals.
After likely top overall pick David Carr of Fresno State and Oregon's Joey
Harrington, who also will be chosen in the first round, what player is the
third-best quarterback prospect in the draft?
Right now the scouts are split and, if you surveyed 10 different talent
evaluators, you probably would end up with a list of five or six
possibilities. Much will depend on which of the passers invited to the
combine decide to actually participate in the on-field workouts. But our
guess is that Patrick Ramsey of Tulane -- who played in a run-and-shoot
offense for the Green Wave, has good size, and is very accurate -- continues
his climb up draft boards around the league. Ramsey is a bit stiff and
doesn't move out of the pocket very well, but he possesses good stature and
a natural feel for the passing game. He could be chosen as early as the
second round.
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Shannon Sharpe caught 71 passes last season. |
Will you have to buy a scorecard to identify the Baltimore Ravens in 2002?
Even after sacrificing weakside linebacker Jamie Sharper and return
specialist Jermaine Lewis in the expansion draft last week, the Ravens are
still over the salary cap and the clock is ticking. The team is desperately
trying to restructure contracts with veterans but meeting some resistance.
That means plenty of blood in the streets of Baltimore, with the cuts likely
including tight end Shannon Sharpe, safeties Rod Woodson and Carnell Lake,
defensive ends Michael McCrary and Rob Burnett and defensive tackle Sam
Adams, among others. The departures may force the Ravens to play a 3-4 front
under coordinator Mike Nolan in 2002. Mark the Ravens as "Exhibit A" for the
kind of binge-purge philosophy that permeates the NFL these days, one that
precludes a team from sustaining its excellence for more than a year or two.
How many draft prospects will actually participate in the full battery of
combine tests and who will be this year's workout warrior?
Although there has been plenty of prodding, no one should expect the workout
numbers to really increase very much over past years, meaning most top
prospects will skip the 40-yard dash and some of the other on-field drills.
Every year, a player separates himself from the pack with a superior
workout. We don't know who that player will be this year, but word is that
wideouts Ashley Lelie (Hawaii) and Andre Davis (Virginia Tech) are both
going to run and have been laying down some blazing 40-yard times.
Len Pasquarelli is a senior NFL writer for ESPN.com.