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ESPN's Mike Golic is a sucker for storybook endings, and while he's not normally swayed by the idea of destiny's darlings, he's making an exception for the Atlanta Falcons. After watching their comeback victory Sunday at Minnesota, Golic thinks the Super Bowl could be the next surprise in Atlanta's shocking season.
But that wasn't the only thing on Golic's mind after the Denver Broncos joined the Falcons in Super Bowl XXXIII. Golic joined Merril Hoge and Sean Salisbury in a preliminary breakdown of the Jan. 31 showdown in Miami.
That puts the onus on Chuck Smith, who likes to penetrate up the field. If he can do that against Denver, forcing Davis to cut back right away, the Falcons' defense will be in good shape because Davis really has been hurting teams when he gets to the corner.
Atlanta has the type of defensive line that can stop Davis. The Falcons like to shoot the gaps, and all four of the defensive linemen specialize in penetrating. If they can make Davis dance a little bit before he goes north and south, that gives the linebackers a chance to come up and make a play.
But the Broncos are committed to the run, and they will have to keep giving the ball to Davis. When you're facing a defensive line like Atlanta's, as long as you're patient, you will eventually get a big run. The Falcons will have to be extremely sound and disciplined, because all it takes is one guy out of position and Davis will hit that hole.
If the Falcons allow Davis two big runs in this game, it's going to be tough to beat Denver.
The Falcons did a great job of stopping Robert Smith on Sunday, but no team can stop Davis unless it completely sells out against the run. And if a defense sells out against the run, that opens the door for Ed McCaffrey, Rod Smith, Shannon Sharpe and Elway. That's not a wise tradeoff.
Maybe the Falcons could follow a formula NBA teams used against the Bulls: Let Michael Jordan score his 40, but don't let the other players eat you alive. Maybe the Falcons can give Davis his yards and focus on holding everyone else down.
Atlanta has an extremely underrated defense, and the Falcons will be up for the challenge. It's amazing what a Super Bowl can do for a team, but it's going to be a matter of who's quicker to the punch. Physically, the Falcons are going to be a little bit quicker and guess correctly every once in a while.
Before the game, I thought the tight ends for both the Vikings and the Falcons would be key. In the Falcons' last drive in overtime, O.J. Santiago had a couple of nice catches to take Atlanta down the field. He could be a key to Reeves' game plan in the Super Bowl as well.
Denver has John Mobley and Bill Romanowski at outside linebacker, and they can't match up height-wise against Santiago, who is 6-foot-7. Santiago averages more than 15 yards per reception. But if Santiago runs down the middle of the field, that could keep safeties Steve Atwater and Tyrone Braxton in the middle and not allow them to help defend Terance Mathis and Tony Martin on the outside.
Expect Atlanta to test Denver down the middle, and the Falcons will try to create their matchups on the outside because they have better overall speed at receiver than the Broncos have in their secondary. The question ultimately will come down to whether the Falcons provide Chris Chandler with enough protection to challenge the Broncos' secondary.
Atlanta has a good offensive line, and Anderson doesn't believe there's a person alive who can stop him. He is so confident right now that even if a team contains him for a while, he thinks he's eventually going to get his yards.
If you put the ball in Chandler's hands, good things are going to happen, especially in the red zone. He made the big plays when he had to, and Martin and Mathis can make big plays deep.
Just like the Broncos, Atlanta's offense is built around a running back, but it also features a quarterback who can beat an opponent with his arm and his mind.
He's trying until the very last second to find his receiver, because he realizes he has to pick and choose his battles as far as running with the football, like he did in last season's Super Bowl. He also did it Sunday vs. the Jets, when he ran a nice little bootleg to move the chains.
It used to be the John Elway show, and he had to beat teams single-handedly. Now he has a running game and a full complement of weapons. The Broncos are much more dynamic, and they're multi-faceted.
When Reeves was coaching Denver, the Broncos believed in fundamental football, running play-action and throwing. They didn't have the philosophy that it's OK to run or throw on any down, like they do now.
Now Elway has a teammate in Davis who can help push Denver over the top. Elway's game hasn't changed much, but the funny thing about football is that just when a quarterback begins to understand it all, it's about time to retire.
Elway is still very physically gifted, and his smarts and decision-making have improved. Now he knows when to rely on Davis, and he knows that if the Broncos can just hang onto the ball, they will have a chance to win every week.
Elway probably has a better relationship with Mike Shanahan than he did with Reeves, but as a quarterback, the only thing that has changed with Elway is that he has gotten wiser and has a better supporting cast.
The other matchup will be how the Broncos' safeties react to Chandler's play-action fakes. Atwater and Braxton are extremely physical, and they're going to be coming up to support the run. Chandler has a good play-action fake, and his backup quarterback is Steve DeBerg, who almost reinvented the play-action fake, along with Boomer Esiason. If Chandler can sell that fake, he might find a lot of single coverage on the outside corners against Mathis and Martin as the safeties get a little nosy.
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